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Litigation glossary

Sensitivity Analysis

Testing how much the answer moves when you change one assumption - so you know what actually drives the case.

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Sensitivity analysis asks a simple but powerful question: if this one input were different, how much would the conclusion change? You vary a single assumption across a plausible range while holding the others fixed, and you watch what happens to the expected value or the recommended decision. Inputs that barely move the answer can be set aside; inputs that swing it dramatically are the ones deserving your attention, your discovery budget, and your caution.

This turns a static estimate into a map of what matters. A common presentation is a tornado diagram, which ranks the inputs by how far each can push the outcome, longest bars at the top. The exercise often reveals that a case's value hinges on one or two variables, such as a single contested element or a key damages assumption, while a dozen others are close to irrelevant. Knowing that reshapes where effort is best spent.

Sensitivity analysis is also the antidote to false precision. If the recommendation flips when a probability moves from forty to sixty percent, you should be far more tentative than a confident point estimate would suggest. Juricratic makes this native by exposing the model's dials directly: you turn one and watch the outcome respond, which shows immediately whether a conclusion is robust or balanced on a single fragile assumption.

In litigation

How it actually shows up

Counsel use sensitivity analysis to decide where to invest, because the highest-value discovery and expert work is aimed at the inputs the outcome is most sensitive to. It also strengthens advice: telling a client that the recommendation holds across a wide range of assumptions is far more persuasive than a single number. In settlement, knowing which variable the case turns on tells you which factual question is really being negotiated.

Questions
What is sensitivity analysis?
It is the practice of changing one assumption at a time across a plausible range to see how much the conclusion moves. Inputs that barely shift the answer are low priority; inputs that swing it are the true drivers of the case. It converts a single estimate into a map of what actually matters.
Why is sensitivity analysis useful in litigation?
It shows where a case's value really comes from, so you can aim discovery and expert work at the assumptions that move the outcome most. It also guards against false precision: if the recommended decision flips within a reasonable range of an input, you know the conclusion is fragile and should be advised with appropriate caution.
What is a tornado diagram?
It is a chart that ranks a model's inputs by how far each one can move the outcome, drawn as horizontal bars with the most influential input at the top, giving the shape a tornado. In litigation it quickly reveals whether a case's value hinges on one or two variables or is spread across many.

This page is an educational explainer, not legal advice, and creates no attorney–client relationship. Juricratic is a simulation engine: every probability-like figure is a dial you set, not a calibrated prediction. Verify every rule, deadline, and figure against the authorities and orders that govern your matter.

Turn the concept into a modeled matter.

Juricratic makes every one of these ideas a live dial: model your case as a solvable game, then watch the optimal line and the settlement window move as the assumptions do.

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simulation, not prediction — not legal advice