Sensitivity Analysis
Testing how much the answer moves when you change one assumption - so you know what actually drives the case.
Browse the glossary →Sensitivity analysis asks a simple but powerful question: if this one input were different, how much would the conclusion change? You vary a single assumption across a plausible range while holding the others fixed, and you watch what happens to the expected value or the recommended decision. Inputs that barely move the answer can be set aside; inputs that swing it dramatically are the ones deserving your attention, your discovery budget, and your caution.
This turns a static estimate into a map of what matters. A common presentation is a tornado diagram, which ranks the inputs by how far each can push the outcome, longest bars at the top. The exercise often reveals that a case's value hinges on one or two variables, such as a single contested element or a key damages assumption, while a dozen others are close to irrelevant. Knowing that reshapes where effort is best spent.
Sensitivity analysis is also the antidote to false precision. If the recommendation flips when a probability moves from forty to sixty percent, you should be far more tentative than a confident point estimate would suggest. Juricratic makes this native by exposing the model's dials directly: you turn one and watch the outcome respond, which shows immediately whether a conclusion is robust or balanced on a single fragile assumption.
How it actually shows up
Counsel use sensitivity analysis to decide where to invest, because the highest-value discovery and expert work is aimed at the inputs the outcome is most sensitive to. It also strengthens advice: telling a client that the recommendation holds across a wide range of assumptions is far more persuasive than a single number. In settlement, knowing which variable the case turns on tells you which factual question is really being negotiated.
- What is sensitivity analysis?
- It is the practice of changing one assumption at a time across a plausible range to see how much the conclusion moves. Inputs that barely shift the answer are low priority; inputs that swing it are the true drivers of the case. It converts a single estimate into a map of what actually matters.
- Why is sensitivity analysis useful in litigation?
- It shows where a case's value really comes from, so you can aim discovery and expert work at the assumptions that move the outcome most. It also guards against false precision: if the recommended decision flips within a reasonable range of an input, you know the conclusion is fragile and should be advised with appropriate caution.
- What is a tornado diagram?
- It is a chart that ranks a model's inputs by how far each one can move the outcome, drawn as horizontal bars with the most influential input at the top, giving the shape a tornado. In litigation it quickly reveals whether a case's value hinges on one or two variables or is spread across many.
This page is an educational explainer, not legal advice, and creates no attorney–client relationship. Juricratic is a simulation engine: every probability-like figure is a dial you set, not a calibrated prediction. Verify every rule, deadline, and figure against the authorities and orders that govern your matter.
Turn the concept into a modeled matter.
Juricratic makes every one of these ideas a live dial: model your case as a solvable game, then watch the optimal line and the settlement window move as the assumptions do.
Request access →